BLOG MISCELLANEA

Ontology & Methodology Conference, May 4-5, 2013 at Virginia Tech ( Poster )

Maps & Directions:

- From Main Street Inn to Pamplin Hall (RM 2030)
- Coffee shops & Fast Food Restaurants near Pamplin
- Blacksburg Restaurant List
- Downtown Bars & Pubs
- Directions to Thebes, home of D. Mayo & G. Chatfield (site of conference dinner)
- Directions to Delphi
- Directions from Delphi to the Blacksburg Country Club

O & M Speaker Suggested Background readings:

- Angner, E. (April 1, 2013) “To Navigate Safely in the Vast Sea of Empirical Facts”:
A Weberian Analysis of Behavioral and Neoclassical Economics. (Paper)

*H. Clatterbuck recommends these two articles, which explain some of the issues that will be important in her discussion:*

Der, R. Epstein, C.L., Plotkin, J. B. (2011) “Generalized population models and the nature of genetic drift”,*Theoretical Population Biology*80: 80-99.

Der, R., Epstein, C. Plotkin, J.B., (2012). “Dynamics of Neutral and Selected Alleles When the Offspring Distribution Is Skewed,”*Genetics*, 191: 1331–1344.

- Marcellesi, A. (January 6, 2013) " Is race a cause?" (Paper)

*Marcellesi is aruging against these two papers:*

Greiner, James D. and Rubin, Donald B. (2011). "Causal Effects of Perceived Immutable Characteristics",*The Review of Economics and Statistics*93(3): 775–785

Holland, Paul, W. (2003). "Causation and Race" Research Report, Educational Testing Service; Research and Development Division, Princeton NJ.

- Shech, E. (2012) "What is the 'Paradox of Phase Transitions?'” (Paper)

- Woodward, J. (2010) "Causation in biology: stability, specificity,
and the choice of levels of explanation"
*Biol Philos*25:287–318

DOI 10.1007/s10539-010-9200-z

Nearby Blacksburg Landmarks & Attractions

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2013 Blog readings:

Chang, Mark (2012). Paradoxes in Scientific Inference. Chapman and Hall/CRC. (pp. 137-9; Section 3.5.2 Paradox of the Birnbaum Experiment*)

Frank L. Schmidt (1996): "Statistical Significance Testing and Culmulative Knowledge in Psychology: Implications for Training of Researchers," *Psychological Methods ***1**(2):; 115-129.

Frank L. Schmidt & John Hunter: Eight Common But False Objections to the Discontinuation of Significance Testing in the Anaylsis of Research Data

Senn, S. "Bad JAMA?" (full paper).

LSE PH500 Dec 12

Senn, S. (2001), "Opinion: Two Cheers for P-Values?" *Journal of Epidemiology and Biostatistics* (2001) Vol. 6, No. 2, 193–204

Senn, S. (2012), P-Values Slides

Mayo, D. G. (2012), "Short remarks on p-values, error probabilities and severity" (12-12-12 LSE SLIDES).

Answers to Problem Sets for (12/5/12) Recipes and Excercises Handout.

ESP Papers:

Diaconis, P. (1978), "Statistical Problems in ESP Research", *Science*, New Series, Vol. 201, No. 4351 (July 14, 1978), 131-136.

Letters and author response to Diaconis, P. "Statistical Problems in ESP Research" (above).

Birnbaum Papers:

Birnbaum, A. (1962), "On the Foundations of Statistical Inference", *Journal of the American Statistical Association* 57(298), 269-306.

Savage, L. J. (1962), " Discussion on Birnbaum's On the Foundations of Statistical Inference", *Journal of the American Statistical Association* 57(298), 307-326.

Birbaum, A (1970). Statistical Methods in Scientific Inference (letter to the editor). Nature 225, 1033.

Durbin Papers:

Durbin, J. (1970), “On Birnbaum's Theorem on the Relation Between Sufficiency, Conditionality and Likelihood”, *Journal of the American Statistical Association*, Vol. 65, No. 329 (Mar., 1970), pp. 395-398.

Savage, L. J., (1970), “Comments on a Weakened Principle of Conditionality”, *Journal of the American Statistical Association*, Vol. 65, No. 329 (Mar., 1970), pp. 399-401.

Birnbaum, A. (1970), “On Durbin's Modified Principle of Conditionality”, *Journal of the American Statistical Association*, Vol. 65, No. 329 (Mar., 1970), pp. 402-403.

Kalbfleisch Papers:

Kalbfleisch, J. D. (1975), “Sufficiency and Conditionality”, *Biometrika*, Vol. 62, No. 2 (Aug., 1975), pp. 251-259.

Barnard, G. A., (1975), “Comments on Paper by J. D. Kalbfleisch”, *Biometrika*, Vol. 62, No. 2 (Aug., 1975), pp. 260-261.

Barndorff-Nielsen, O. (1975), “Comments on Paper by J. D. Kalbfleisch”, *Biometrika*, Vol. 62, No. 2 (Aug., 1975), pp. 261-262.

Birnbaum, A. (1975), “Comments on Paper by J. D. Kalbfleisch”, *Biometrika*, Vol. 62, No. 2 (Aug., 1975), pp. 262-264.

McLaren, A. D., (1975), “Comments on Paper by J. D. Kalbfleisch: Some Personal Comments on Sufficiency and Conditionality”, *Biometrika*, Vol. 62, No. 2 (Aug., 1975), pp. 264-268.

Kalbfleisch, J. D. (1975), “Reply to Comments”, *Biometrika*, Vol. 62, No. 2 (Aug., 1975), p. 268.

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Steven Weinberg (2012) Why the Higgs? *New York Review of Books*, August 16, 2012

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Mayo, D. G. pp. 402-403

Mayo, D. G. (Forthcoming) Statistical Science Meets Philosophy of Science: Shallow versus Deep Explorations (SS&POS2)

N. Schachtman: Judge Posner's Opinion

A. Spanos: Review of Ziliak and McCloskey

A. Spanos (2010). Akaike-type Criteria and the Reliability of Inference: Model Selection vs. Statistical Model Specification,” Journal of Econometrics, 158: 204-220.

A. Spanos (2007) "Curve Fitting, the Reliability of Inductive Inference, and the Error Statisitcal Approach" in *Philosophy of Science* 1046-1066,

(December 2007).

A. Spanos (2009) "Statistical Misspecification and the Reliability of
Inference: the simple t-test in the presence of
Markov dependence" in *The Korean Economic Review* ** 25**: 165-213.

A. Spanos (2012) Reflecting Briefly on the Empirical Example in the Barnard and Copas (2002) paper.

Testing Recipes (LSE 08 handout)

Lindley Philosophy of Statistics

EGEK REVIEWS:

Cobb Review of Ziliac & McCloskey

Hasok Chang Review of EGEK ( *British Journal of the Philosophy of Science* **48 **(1997): 455-459**)**

ERROR & INFERENCE REVIEWS:

Anonymous (2010). BOOK REVIEW of *Error and Inference: Recent Exchanges on Experimental Reasoning, Reliability, and the Objectivity and Rationality of Science* (edited by Deborah G. Mayo and Aris Spanos) New York; Cambridge University Press, 2010 *Technometrics*; Aug 2010; 52, 3; ABI/INFORM Global
pg. 369.

TRIAD:

Fisher 1934: Two New Properties of Mathematical Likelihood

Barnard, G. A. and J. B. Copas (2002): "Likelihood Inference for Location, Scale,
and Shape," *Journal of Statistical Planning and
Inference *

Cassella, G. and Berger, R. (1987). "Reconciling Bayesian
and Frequentist Evidence in the One-sided Testing Problem,"
(with discussion). *Journal of the American Statistical Association*, **82** 106–111, 123–
139.

Berger, J. O. and Selke, T. (1987). " Testing a Point Null Hypothesis: The Irreconcilability of P Values and Evidence," J*ournal of the American Statistical Association*, **82** ( 397): 112-122

Senn, S. ( 2002). "Letter to the Editor: A comment on replication, p-values and evidence by S.N. Goodman, (Statist. Med. 1992;11: 875-879)" Statist. Med. 2002; 21:2437–2444.

Senn (2012): "To investigate a blog post of Aris Spanos's": Cushony & Spanos